{"id":30402,"date":"2023-07-22T06:58:26","date_gmt":"2023-07-22T04:58:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/?p=30402"},"modified":"2023-07-22T10:14:35","modified_gmt":"2023-07-22T08:14:35","slug":"raimon-obiols-lapunt-del-dia-185-si-votem-guanyem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/raimon-obiols-lapunt-del-dia-185-si-votem-guanyem\/","title":{"rendered":"Raimon Obiols: L\u2019apunt del dia\/185 (Si votem, guanyem)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Em va interessar molt aquest fil de final de campanya, llegit ahir a Twitter<\/a>. \u00c9s d\u2019Oriol Bartomeus<\/strong>, el meu expert preferit en temes electorals.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Em sembla que sintetitza de manera   precisa quin \u00e9s el panorama  en qu\u00e8 ens trobem, i l\u2019alternativa que se\u2019ns planteja, a 24<\/strong> hores de la jornada electoral: <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00ab- Entre avui i diumenge <\/em>4,6<\/em><\/strong> milions d’electors decidiran el vot (<\/em>10,5%<\/em><\/strong> del cens, segons @CIS).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– La difer\u00e8ncia en vot decidit entre el <\/em>PP<\/em><\/strong> i el PSOE, segons les dades de l’\u00faltim \u2018tracking\u2019 de @40dbES, era de <\/em>250.000<\/em><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– L’acumulaci\u00f3 d’errors del <\/em>PP<\/em><\/strong> els \u00faltims dies evidencia que saben que el seu avantatge \u00e9s menor del que proclamen “els seus” sondejos.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Si s’esforcen tant per assegurar que no hi ha partit \u00e9s perqu\u00e8 hi ha partit.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Els nervis han canviat de b\u00e0ndol.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Despr\u00e9s del cara a cara el <\/em>PSOE<\/em><\/strong> va entrar en barrina i el <\/em>PP<\/em><\/strong> es va disparar (tres punts en tres dies).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Aquests darrers dies passa el contrari: l’estrat\u00e8gia del <\/em>PP<\/em><\/strong> es percep com a menys s\u00f2lida i l’actitud del <\/em>PSOE<\/em><\/strong> va guanyant aplom.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– El rival m\u00e9s gran per a l’esquerra continua sent la resignaci\u00f3 davant una vict\u00f2ria “inevitable” de <\/em>Feij\u00f3o<\/em><\/strong>, constru\u00efda pel “consens demosc\u00f2pic” que busca que una part del vot de l’esquerra es quedi a casa.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– La campanya de <\/em>Feij\u00f3o<\/em><\/strong> ha estat una anticampanya: ha amagat deliberadament les seves propostes, conscient que, si es conegu\u00e9ssin, el programa del <\/em>PP<\/em><\/strong> mobilitzaria la majoria progressista.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– A dos dies de les eleccions, <\/em>Feij\u00f3o<\/em><\/strong> ja no pot capgirar la seva campanya i a l’esquerra s’aferma la idea que \u00e9s possible fer un tomb a l’elecci\u00f3:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– dos dies per davant,<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– <\/em>4,6<\/em><\/strong> milions de vots per decidir,<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– <\/em>250.000<\/em><\/strong> de desavantatge.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El <\/em>#23J<\/em><\/strong> a votar\u00bb.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c9s a dir, que la q\u00fcesti\u00f3 est\u00e0 plantejada concretament en aquests termes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Si votem, guanyem!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Em va interessar molt aquest fil de final de campanya, llegit ahir a Twitter. \u00c9s d\u2019Oriol Bartomeus, el meu expert preferit en temes electorals.\u00a0 Em sembla que sintetitza de manera   precisa quin \u00e9s el panorama  en qu\u00e8 ens trobem, i l\u2019alternativa que se\u2019ns planteja, a 24 hores de la jornada electoral:  \u00ab- Entre avui …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":30406,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,285,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-espanya","category-lapunt-del-dia","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30402","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30402"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30402\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30410,"href":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30402\/revisions\/30410"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30406"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30402"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.noucicle.org\/lhora\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}